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The US dollar index fell to five-month lows near 103.20 after weak US jobs data increased bets on a 50 basis point Fed cut in September. The week's calendar includes the RBA rate decision, Fed speakers and services PMI releases.
Dollar weakness driven by Fed rate-cut expectations tends to support dollar-priced grains and oilseeds, though the scheduled data releases could shift that view.
fxstreet.comPablo PiovanoAug 2, 2024After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 388 past bullish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.4% to +1.1%), and +0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Dollar index fell to five-month lows as markets priced a possible 50bp September Fed cut, confirming broad USD weakness as the mirror of euro strength.
