
President Javier Milei reiterated his intention to eliminate Argentina’s agricultural export duties. Under Law 27.800/2026, implementing the Mercosur-EU agreement, export duties must be removed by May 2029, while the soybean complex has specified duty caps during the transition.
Phasing out export taxes could encourage Argentine production and exports, increasing global availability of affected crops and potentially weighing on international prices over time.
After 369 past bearish policy events, Soybeans moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.8%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 310 past bearish policy events, Corn moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.6% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.