
The dollar index fell 0.3% to 101.87 on Monday as improved market sentiment reduced safe-haven demand, after the currency had rallied on Friday following strong US jobs data. Brent crude dropped 3.3% after President Trump played down the likelihood of renewed strikes on Iran; the euro, sterling, Australian dollar and New Zealand dollar strengthened against the US currency.
A softer dollar can support dollar-denominated commodity prices, while lower crude prices may reduce energy and transport costs. These are macro and currency effects rather than changes in feed availability or demand.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 312 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -1.7% over 5 sessions (38% higher; middle half -5.4% to +2.3%), and -1.7% over 20.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.