EUR/USD Short Squeeze Underway as Yields Drag US Dollar Lower

After 388 past bullish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.4% to +1.1%), and +0.1% over 20.

• May 29, 2025EUR/USD rebounds sharply as soft US jobs, GDP data sink US Dollar+1.2%
• Dec 22, 2025EUR/USD rises as ECB stability outshines US Dollar struggles+0.3%
• Apr 30, 2026EUR/USD advances as ECB holds rates, Dollar softens on mixed data+0.5%
• Oct 20, 2020US Dollar Lower For Third Day - ADM Investor Services+0.2%
• Nov 12, 2025EUR/USD extends winning streak as Dollar slips ahead of key US House vote+0.3%

After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.

• Jul 31, 2024Stocks rise; yields, dollar lower as Fed signals rate cut-0.5%
• Jun 21, 2019Dollar extends losses to 2-week low as US bond yields fall-0.1%
• Nov 28, 2022Dollar weakens as U.S. bond yields drop-1.1%
• Nov 26, 2020U.S. Dollar On Glide Path Lower as Fed Seen Eyeing Long-term Bond Yields-1.2%
• Oct 11, 2018Dollar slips on stock losses, lower bond yields-0.4%