
EUR/USD rose for a sixth straight session to about 1.1589 on November 12 as the dollar's rebound lost momentum. Traders awaited a US House vote to end the record government shutdown, and hawkish ECB commentary supported the euro.
A weaker dollar supports US commodity export prices, while the shutdown's end reduces uncertainty around the release of USDA data. Feed buyers should note both effects on price direction.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 388 past bullish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.4% to +1.1%), and +0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.