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The dollar's post-FOMC selloff accelerated, with the DXY briefly falling below 100.0 to its lowest since June 17. Core PCE rose only 0.1% in June, Q2 growth undershot expectations, and Japanese yen intervention pushed USD/JPY down more than 3%.
Analysts said stretched dollar long positioning could unwind further.
Further dollar weakness would make USD-priced feed commodities more affordable for global buyers, supporting prices, though the analyst is cautious about calling a bottom.
fxstreet.comFXStreet Insights TeamJul 31, 2026After 1,637 past bearish macro events, DXY moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 388 past bullish macro events, EURUSD moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.4% to +1.1%), and +0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Post-FOMC selloff extended as soft core PCE, weak growth, yen intervention and unwinding of stretched long positioning pushed the DXY below 100, matching the size of the move.
Post-FOMC dollar selloff with weak core PCE and Q2 growth and positioning unwinds weakened USD, contributing to EUR/USD gains.
