
Wall Street stock indexes closed firmer on Friday, with the Nasdaq and S&P 500 reaching record highs. New data showing US labor market weakness raised expectations for interest rate cuts as early as September.
Lower US rates and weaker labor data tend to weaken the dollar, which can support dollar-priced commodities and firm feed input demand from importers. The effect on grain and oilseed prices is indirect and modest.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, DXY moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.