
Brent and WTI futures edged higher, with the article attributing the gains to concern that the United States could launch further attacks on Iran. It also reports that Brent was on track for a steep weekly decline and notes emerging signs of oversupply amid weaker demand.
The threat of escalation can add a risk premium to crude, while weaker demand and signs of surplus limit that support. The small gains described suggest only modest upward pressure in the session.
After 656 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.9% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -2.7% to +6.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 626 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +2.1% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -2.3% to +8.5%), and +1.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.