
WTI for April rose $1.29 to $78.87 and Brent rose $1.12 to $83.65 on February 27. Prices were supported by uncertainty over a Gaza cease-fire and by expectations that OPEC+ would extend production cuts beyond the first quarter.
Biden said he hoped a cease-fire could be reached by March 4.
Middle East supply risk and expected OPEC+ restraint support higher energy costs, which can lift biofuel and feed transport costs and support vegetable oil prices. The effect on grain and feed prices is modest.
After 626 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +2.1% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -2.3% to +8.5%), and +1.6% over 20.
After 656 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.9% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -2.7% to +6.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.