
USDA's quarterly stocks report sparked rallies in soybeans, corn and wheat. Corn stocks of 1.995 billion bushels came in about 125 million bushels below the lowest trade estimate, and soybean stocks of 523 million bushels were roughly 50 million below the trade average.
Corn stocks falling below 2 billion bushels reduces the burdensome-supply argument and supports higher futures, with the market now eyeing a return above $4 per bushel.
After 1,040 past bullish report events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 769 past bullish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.