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USDA's June Quarterly Stocks and Acreage report surprised the market, with corn planted area at 91.7 million acres versus trade estimates of 86.7 million. Soybean acreage came in well below expectations, following planting delays across the Corn Belt.
Corn acreage well above expectations is bearish for corn prices, while the sharp soybean acreage shortfall is supportive for soybeans and soy meal.
agweek.comJun 28, 2019After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
