
Australia’s diesel reserves fell to 31 days of supply, three days below the prior week, as the country relies heavily on imported fuel. The article links tight refined-fuel markets to disruptions around the Strait of Hormuz and Russian export halts, and says U.S. refining margins reached record levels.
Low Australian stocks and constrained global diesel exports increase competition for refined fuel and can support diesel prices. Higher diesel costs raise transport and farm operating expenses, including the cost of moving and harvesting grain.
After 250 past bullish geopolitics events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median +1.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -3.6% to +8.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.