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Brazil’s 2026/27 soybean planting reached 53% of the expected area, six percentage points ahead of the pace a year earlier, according to AgRural. Earlier planting could allow earlier harvest and create more time for second-crop corn and cotton, but rainfall uncertainty and sharply different soybean production estimates remain; StoneX forecast 184.95 million tonnes while Rabobank held at 178 million.
An earlier soybean calendar can support second-crop corn and cotton acreage by improving the planting window, while divergent production estimates underscore uncertainty about soybean supply. Irregular rainfall remains a key risk to yields, so price implications are mixed.
jornalpaubrasil.comBeatriz TorresNov 5, 2026After 324 past neutral weather events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.7%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 445 past neutral weather events, Corn moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
