
USDA crop ratings show national corn at 63% good to excellent versus 73% a year ago, with dry conditions in North Dakota, South Dakota and Nebraska while Iowa and Minnesota remain strong. Soybeans are about 80% blooming during a critical rainfall period.
A growing gap between strong eastern regions and stressed northern and western areas makes the final yield uncertain, keeping corn and soybean prices supported until harvest estimates clarify.
After 445 past neutral weather events, Corn moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 324 past neutral weather events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.7%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.