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March in Illinois ran 4-5 degrees warmer and 1-2 inches drier than normal, letting some fields be worked and planted by mid-March. A cold snap with below-freezing minimums was forecast for east-central Illinois, and NASS had not yet reported planted acreage as of March 30.
Early planting favors a normal crop calendar, but a freeze or wet spell after early planting could force replanting and trim yield expectations. The outlook is a modest supply risk for corn and soybeans.
farmdoc.illinois.eduGiovani Preza FontesApr 3, 2025After 445 past neutral weather events, Corn moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 324 past neutral weather events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.7%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
