Some farmers in southern Brazil are expected to start planting 2025/26 summer corn before the end of August, even though the 2024/25 safrinha harvest is not finished. Heavy rain in the south and a wetter-than-normal dry season have improved soil moisture for early planting.
Early planting with good moisture supports the outlook for Brazil's summer corn crop, which is a source of supply in the first half of the year. The effect on prices is limited for now.
After 445 past neutral weather events, Corn moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.