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EUR/USD traded above parity at 1.0019 after U.S. nonfarm payrolls rose only 200,000, down from 315,000 and the weakest since December 2020, and the euro rose 2.1%. German September industrial production unexpectedly rose 0.6%.
Eurozone inflation hit 10.7% in October, and the ECB was expected to keep hiking.
Weaker U.S. job growth reduces the Fed's tightening outlook and weakens the dollar, supporting dollar-priced commodities. Persistent European inflation and energy headwinds keep some risk in the euro outlook.
marketpulse.comKenneth FisherNov 7, 2022After 47 past bearish report events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (34% higher; middle half -0.8% to +0.2%), and -0.7% over 20.
After 20 past bullish report events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (70% higher; middle half -0.0% to +1.6%), and +1.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Weak payrolls and strong euro data pushed EUR/USD through parity around the start of the window.
