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EUR/USD finished the week up nearly 4% as October CPI undershot forecasts and University of Michigan inflation expectations rose. The dollar extended its losses to four consecutive weeks on hopes that the Fed would slow tightening.
Germany's double-digit inflation provided some support to the euro.
Expectations of a slower Fed cycle and a weaker dollar support dollar-priced commodities, though rising U.S. inflation expectations limit the upside. Feed buyers face a mixed outlook for imported ingredient costs.
teletrade.orgNov 11, 2022After 47 past bearish report events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (34% higher; middle half -0.8% to +0.2%), and -0.7% over 20.
After 20 past bullish report events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (70% higher; middle half -0.0% to +1.6%), and +1.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Weekly recap confirms EUR/USD gained nearly 4% as the CPI undershoot fueled hopes of slower Fed tightening and the dollar's losing streak extended, with high German inflation giving the euro modest support.
EUR/USD rose nearly 4% on the week, the flip side of the dollar's decline, as Fed tightening hopes grew.
