
The dollar index slipped after US March consumer prices rose 3.3% year on year, slightly below expectations. Michigan consumer sentiment fell to a record low of 47.6, and swaps priced little chance of a rate hike at the April FOMC meeting.
Softer US inflation data and weaker sentiment point to lower rate expectations, which weakens the dollar and supports dollar-priced commodity buying.
After 47 past bearish report events, DXY moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (34% higher; middle half -0.8% to +0.2%), and -0.7% over 20.
After 20 past bullish report events, EURUSD moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (70% higher; middle half -0.0% to +1.6%), and +1.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.