EUR/USD rose about 0.9% after eurozone producer prices rose to 5% in August, above forecasts, driven by higher energy costs. The US dollar weakened after the September manufacturing PMI fell from 52.8 to 50.9.
Hotter producer prices point to further consumer inflation and ECB tightening, supporting the euro. A weaker US manufacturing reading softens the dollar, which can support dollar-priced commodity markets.
After 20 past bullish report events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (70% higher; middle half -0.0% to +1.6%), and +1.1% over 20.
After 47 past bearish report events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (34% higher; middle half -0.8% to +0.2%), and -0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Hot eurozone PPI and a weaker US PMI added to ECB tightening expectations and dollar weakness, supporting the euro's rise.