
EUR/USD traded around 1.1530 after eurozone July flash HICP rose to 2.9% YoY and core HICP accelerated to 2.5%. Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan said she would have preferred a 25-basis-point hike, which supported the dollar and limited euro gains.
Persistent inflation and hawkish Fed comments keep rate differentials in focus, influencing dollar strength against currencies of major feed-importing and exporting partners. The effect on grain and meal prices is indirect.
After 20 past bullish report events, EURUSD moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (70% higher; middle half -0.0% to +1.6%), and +1.1% over 20.
After 47 past bearish report events, DXY moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (34% higher; middle half -0.8% to +0.2%), and -0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.