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Eurozone inflation rose to 2.9% in July from 2.8%, driven by an oil price surge linked to the Iran war, and core inflation accelerated to 2.5%. Markets are pricing more than two ECB rate hikes, with moves fully priced by October and April.
Higher energy costs and tighter ECB policy strengthen the euro against the dollar and raise input costs for European livestock and feed production. Oil-driven inflation also tends to lift energy-linked costs across the feed chain.
iex.nlIEXJul 31, 2026After 20 past bullish report events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (70% higher; middle half -0.0% to +1.6%), and +1.1% over 20.
After 131 past bullish report events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +1.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -1.3% to +3.4%), and +2.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
