
EUR/USD traded near 1.1460 after eurozone Q2 GDP expanded 0.4% QoQ, double the forecast. US Q2 GDP grew an annualized 1.5%, below the 2.1% forecast, and June core PCE rose less than expected.
Weaker US growth data and a firmer euro reduce pressure on the dollar's strength, which can modestly support US dollar-priced commodities. The data flow shifts currency expectations more than near-term feed supply.
After 20 past bullish report events, EURUSD moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (70% higher; middle half -0.0% to +1.6%), and +1.1% over 20.
After 47 past bearish report events, DXY moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (34% higher; middle half -0.8% to +0.2%), and -0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Strong eurozone GDP versus weak US GDP and softer core PCE widened the growth differential, favoring the euro on the day.
Weak US Q2 GDP and softer core PCE released on 2026-07-30 alongside strong eurozone GDP pushed EUR/USD higher, which is a direct driver of the one-day broad dollar drop.