
The dollar fell to a two-month low against a basket of currencies on April 13 after U.S. producer prices unexpectedly dropped 0.5% in March. Annual PPI growth slowed to 2.7%, the smallest since January 2021.
Softer inflation raises expectations that the Fed is near the end of its hiking cycle, weakening the dollar and typically supporting dollar-priced commodities and export competitiveness for non-US origins.
After 47 past bearish report events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (34% higher; middle half -0.8% to +0.2%), and -0.7% over 20.
After 54 past report events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (59% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.8%), and +0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.