
The dollar fell to a two-month low against a basket of currencies after US consumer prices rose 7.0% year on year in December, in line with expectations. The reading was the largest annual increase since 1982 and reinforced expectations for Federal Reserve rate hikes starting in March.
A softer dollar supports dollar-priced commodities, but expectations for tighter Fed policy keep the currency supported over the medium term, affecting the cost of imported feed inputs.
After 47 past bearish report events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (34% higher; middle half -0.8% to +0.2%), and -0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.