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CBOT wheat fell about 2% on Tuesday, with front-month contracts setting life-of-contract lows amid a broad commodity and equity sell-off. The sell-off followed the imposition of 25% US tariffs on Mexico and Canada and doubled duties on Chinese goods, with retaliation announced by Canada and China.
Kansas wheat conditions improved in February while Russia reported 87% of winter crops in good or satisfactory condition.
Retaliatory tariffs threaten US grain export demand, pressuring wheat prices lower across all three US classes. Improving Russian crop ratings add supply-side pressure.
tradingview.comMar 4, 2025After 375 past bearish trade events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.1%), and -0.1% over 20.
After 82 past bearish trade events, Wheat (HRW) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -2.8% to +1.9%), and +0.1% over 20.
After 683 past bearish trade events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 803 past bearish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
