
Wheat futures kept falling after USDA's Ag Outlook Forum projected all-wheat plantings down 800,000 acres. Weekly export sales were reported at 3.8 MMT, above the trade estimate range, but prices still weakened.
Reports said China offered to raise ag purchases by $30 billion a year.
A potential China purchase commitment is supportive, but the market largely ignored it while US wheat competed against cheaper supplies. Price direction stayed bearish for feed wheat, with the export data alone not enough to offset selling.
After 375 past bearish trade events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.1%), and -0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.