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The Philippine Department of Agriculture is reinforcing measures to protect rice output from an intensifying El Niño, citing improved seeds, solar irrigation, weather monitoring and adjusted crop calendars. Statistics authority data show third-quarter palay production fell about 18% year on year to 3.08 million metric tons, which the DA attributes mainly to reduced harvested area and high fertilizer and fuel costs.
A sharp drop in Philippine rice output raises import demand and supports regional rice prices, with knock-on effects for broken rice and feed-grade by-products. The fertilizer and fuel cost pressure also signals tighter input supply for the coming crop.
da.gov.phNov 4, 2026After 179 past bullish weather events, Rough Rice moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.5%), and +2.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
