MAPA Confirms Dryland Cereal Yield Drops of Up to 31% in 2026: All the Yields

After 769 past bullish report events, WHEAT moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.2% over 20.

• Oct 6, 2020USDA drops a bombshell and the markets explode - Grain Central+0.6%
• Jan 27, 2026COCERAL in its first forecast for 2026 expects a decrease in the grain harvest in Europe.+0.6%
• Jun 25, 2024MARS lowered yield forecasts for wheat, corn and rapeseed for the EU-2.1%
• Apr 18, 2017New Season Wheat Yield In The EU To Grow+1.0%
• Aug 22, 2026UK harvest yields continue to disappoint-0.4%

Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.

After 1,040 past bullish report events, CORN moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.

• Oct 6, 2020USDA drops a bombshell and the markets explode - Grain Central+2.6%
• Jul 26, 2019All Eyes on Crop Development in the Heartland-2.2%
• Jun 11, 2026COCERAL advanced the forecast for the wheat harvest in the EU and UK in 2026+0.4%
• Mar 17, 2017Strategie Grains Increased Its Forecast On Wheat And Barley Yields In The EU, But Decreased Its Corn Forecast-1.8%
• Jun 25, 2024MARS lowered yield forecasts for wheat, corn and rapeseed for the EU-4.9%