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The November WASDE showed corn ending stocks lifted to 2.154 billion bushels with yield trimmed to 186.0 bpa, soybeans tightening modestly, and wheat loosening more than expected. The report led to a broad risk reset in Chicago grains after a near 10% rally built during the government data blackout.
The bearish wheat and corn balance sheets reduce price support, while soybeans get mild support that depends on confirmed Chinese buying.
home.saxoOle HansenNov 17, 2025After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 1,006 past bearish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 138 past bearish report events, Wheat (HRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -2.9% to +2.4%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
