
Hong Kong-listed pork stocks such as Muyuan and WH Group rose in afternoon trading on November 3. China's National Bureau of Statistics reported that breeding sow inventory at end-Q3 fell to 36.02 million head, below the normal holding level of 37.5 million for the first time, down 10.7% year on year.
Hog prices fell over 10% during October, from 10.2 to 9.1 yuan/kg.
Sow herd liquidation below the normal level points to lower future pork supply, which supports hog prices and reduces demand for feed ingredients over time. Continued losses for producers may accelerate further culling.
After 100 past bullish report events, HOGS moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.9% to +2.0%), and -0.4% over 20.
After 1,100 past bearish report events, CORN moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 399 past bearish report events, SBM moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.2%), and -1.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.