China's third-quarter pork output rose 43% year on year to 12.02 million tonnes, the highest since Q3 2018, according to Reuters calculations on official data. Output for the first three quarters was up 38% to 39.17 million tonnes.
Rebuilt hog supply with prices down about 65% this year points to ample pork and weaker demand for feed, which is bearish for soymeal and corn imports into China.
After 159 past bearish report events, Lean Hogs moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and +1.0% over 20.
After 399 past bearish report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.2%), and -1.0% over 20.
After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.