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China's pork output in July-September 2021 reached 12.02 million tonnes, up 43% year on year and the highest since Q3 2018. Output for the first three quarters rose 38%, driven by large producers that built new breeding farms.
Prices have fallen 65% so far this year, prompting some farmers to exit.
Rapid herd rebuilding and higher pork supply point to lower hog prices and softer feed demand, which is bearish for meal and grain demand from China.
canadiancattlemen.caDominique PattonNov 10, 2021After 159 past bearish report events, HOGS moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and +1.0% over 20.
After 399 past bearish report events, SBM moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.2%), and -1.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
