
US crude fell 24% and Brent dropped 13.4% to $24.88, with Brent trading at its weakest since 2003. Prices have fallen more than 50% in 10 days as coronavirus shut factories and trade and OPEC and Russia failed to agree on output cuts.
A supply glut combined with a demand shock drives crude to multi-year lows, lowering fuel and freight costs but weakening biofuel economics that support vegetable oil and corn prices.
After 255 past bearish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -2.4% over 5 sessions (31% higher; middle half -7.0% to +1.7%), and -5.0% over 20.
After 250 past bearish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -3.1% over 5 sessions (36% higher; middle half -7.9% to +1.6%), and -5.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Same-day report of Brent falling about 13% to its weakest since 2003 on demand collapse and OPEC/Russia failure to agree cuts.
Brent fell 13.4% on Mar 18 to its weakest since 2003 amid failed OPEC/Russia output deal and virus-driven demand loss.
Reports the 24% one-day crude drop and a fall of more than 50% in 10 days as factories shut and OPEC+ failed to agree on cuts.