
Oil posted its biggest weekly loss since the 2008 financial crisis, with Brent down 25% on the week amid coronavirus demand shocks and Saudi-led efforts to flood the market. Brent settled at $33.85 on Friday after a rebound on government support signals.
A simultaneous supply and demand shock is pushing crude toward glut conditions, a bearish signal for energy and biofuel-linked feed prices.
After 250 past bearish geopolitics events, BRENT moved a median -3.1% over 5 sessions (36% higher; middle half -7.9% to +1.6%), and -5.5% over 20.
After 255 past bearish geopolitics events, WTI moved a median -2.4% over 5 sessions (31% higher; middle half -7.0% to +1.7%), and -5.0% over 20.
After 28 past bearish geopolitics events, SBO moved a median -2.7% over 5 sessions (21% higher; middle half -8.3% to -0.7%), and -2.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Weekly-loss report ending Mar 13 shows Brent rebounded to $33.85 on Friday, so the Mar 16 drop resumed the Saudi price-war and coronavirus demand-shock selloff.