
Oil prices fell to their lowest levels in over 17 years as Saudi Arabia signaled no breakthrough in its price war with Russia. Coronavirus lockdowns grounded flights and reduced fuel demand.
WTI briefly dipped below $20 and Brent hit $23.03 on the same day.
The supply dispute between Saudi Arabia and Russia combined with collapsing demand creates a double hit on crude prices. Lower energy prices reduce costs for feed transport and processing, though the economic slump may weigh on livestock demand.
After 255 past bearish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -2.4% over 5 sessions (31% higher; middle half -7.0% to +1.7%), and -5.0% over 20.
After 250 past bearish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -3.1% over 5 sessions (36% higher; middle half -7.9% to +1.6%), and -5.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Saudi-Russia price war with no breakthrough plus grounded flights pushed Brent to $23, combining supply glut and demand collapse.
No breakthrough in the Saudi-Russia price war plus grounded flights pushed prices to multi-year lows, supply and demand pressure feeding the March 31 drop.