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Oil settled higher on Friday but posted its steepest weekly decline since November, down 5-6% after a 20% rise the prior week. Traders assessed possible supply gains from producers and the risk of a Russian supply shortfall.
The US imposed new sanctions on Russia, and talks to revive the Iran nuclear deal faced collapse.
Expectations of more OPEC supply and the weekly drop reduce the energy premium that had lifted feed and biofuel input costs. Sanctions and Iran uncertainty keep the supply outlook volatile.
reuters.comShariq KhanMar 11, 2022After 250 past bearish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -3.1% over 5 sessions (36% higher; middle half -7.9% to +1.6%), and -5.5% over 20.
After 255 past bearish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -2.4% over 5 sessions (31% higher; middle half -7.0% to +1.7%), and -5.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
