
Argentina's agro-export sector is projected to earn about US$28.2 billion in 2026, roughly 10% below the US$31.4 billion of 2025. Earnings for January to October reached US$25.2 billion, 14% below the prior year, despite a strong October.
Lower international prices and the Black Sea conflict are cited as key factors.
Lower projected export earnings reflect weaker world prices and Black Sea disruption, signalling soft farm-export demand for Argentine currency and a cautious outlook for grain pricing.
After 1,802 past trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.5% to +1.7%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 977 past trade events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.5% to +1.8%), and +0.1% over 20.
After 461 past trade events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.