US grain inspected for export reached 141.16 million metric tons in 2025, a 6% increase from 2024 and just below the 2021 peak. Corn inspections rose 40%, wheat rose 15%, and soybean inspections fell 27%.
Strong corn and wheat export demand tightens domestic supplies and supports prices, while the sharp drop in soybean shipments weighs on soybean demand. Rail rate cuts improved movement to export positions.
After 729 past bullish trade events, Corn moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.8%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 431 past bullish trade events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.1%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 803 past bearish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.