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Brazil and Canada have expanded soybean exports to China during the US-China tariff dispute. Brazilian soy exports rose 85.2% year over year in the first two months of 2019, and Canada quadrupled its January soy shipments to China.
US soybean stocks in storage remain high because of low export sales.
Brazilian and Canadian gains lock in Chinese demand that might otherwise go to US soybeans, which keeps US export prices under pressure. High US stocks could push prices lower if tariffs are lifted.
supplychaindive.comEmma CosgroveMar 13, 2019After 803 past bearish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
