Imea reports Mato Grosso soybean planting reached 89.05% of the 2026/27 estimated area as of October 30, up 13.24 points in a week. The Midnorth region is nearly finished at 99.71%.
Near-complete planting in Mato Grosso favors a timely corn second crop and reduces replanting risk, a mildly bearish supply signal for soybeans.
After 357 past bearish weather events, Corn moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 363 past bearish weather events, Soybeans moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (42% higher; middle half -2.5% to +1.1%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.