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SAFRAS & Mercado reports Brazilian growers had planted 85.6% of expected soybean area by November 22, ahead of the prior week and the five-year average of 79.3%. Rio Grande do Sul and Mato Grosso showed varied progress, with some excess moisture in the Midwest.
Fast planting progress reduces weather-related risk premium and supports expectations of a large Brazilian crop, which is bearish for soybean prices.
ukragroconsult.comNov 28, 2024After 363 past bearish weather events, Soybeans moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (42% higher; middle half -2.5% to +1.1%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 118 past bearish weather events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.8% over 5 sessions (35% higher; middle half -3.2% to +0.4%), and -1.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
