Pinched ammonia supplies from Trinidad add to US farmer pain ahead of elections

After 729 past bullish trade events, Corn moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.8%), and +0.5% over 20.

• Jul 24, 2025Ahead of the Open | China buys U.S. corn - Pro Farmer+1.0%
• Jul 31, 2018Grain rallies ahead of trade talks - Farm and Dairy+8.8%
• Mar 29, 2023Ahead of the Open | March 29, 2023 - Pro Farmer-0.1%
• May 14, 2026Trump asks China to increase imports of US farm, food commodities | S&P Global-0.4%
• May 15, 2026US, Brazil see jump in ethanol exports as consumers seek to boost fuel supplies+1.2%

After 176 past bullish trade events, Urea moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.4%), and +1.6% over 20.

• Feb 13, 2026India Urea Tender Tightens Global Fertilizer Supplies Again - RFD-TV+0.1%
• Feb 21, 2025Urea prices surge due to strong Indian demand and tight supplies | Farm Weekly | WA-0.5%
• Jan 29, 2024Urea Prices Set to Pick Up as Potash, Ammonia Dip | CZ app-1.4%
• Jan 13, 2025Tight global supply keeping fertilizer prices elevated | Profitability | farmweeknow.com+0.4%
• Nov 27, 2024Trump's threatened tariffs could raise farmer costs | Agri-Pulse Communications, Inc.+0.5%