Dollar Jumps Over 9% in the Week as Ibovespa Records Worst Drop Since 2020

After 301 past bullish macro events, USDBRL moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.2% to +1.7%), and +1.0% over 20.

• Jan 22, 2021Latam FX falls as dollar rises, Brazil real lags peers for the week - Markets - Business Recorder+0.4%
• Jan 23, 2024Brazil's real weakens past 5.00 per dollar for 1st time since November-0.8%
• Sep 23, 2024Dollar rises more than 1% at the start of a week marked by inflation data in Brazil and the US | Brasil 247-1.1%
• Oct 30, 2025Dollar rises against the real, still influenced by Fed decision | Brasil 247+0.2%
• Jul 30, 2018Dollar kicks off the week with a 0.33% hike - ANBA News Agency-0.0%

After 273 past bearish macro events, SOY moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.4%), and -0.5% over 20.

• Jun 16, 2021Dollar jumps after Fed pulls interest rate hikes into 2023 | Reuters-4.9%
• Dec 14, 2016Dollar climbs to strongest since 2003 on Fed path; bonds drop - Moneyweb-2.2%
• Dec 30, 2021Dollar on track for best year since 2015+2.0%
• Apr 28, 2022Dollar index hits highest level since 2002-3.3%
• May 5, 2022Dollar surges to 2-decade high as investors seek refuge | AP News-1.2%