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Siam Commercial Bank's EIC says a drought that started early in Thailand's 2019-2020 dry season has damaged 1.62 million rai of farmland, 89% of it rice. Reservoirs are below the five-year average, and the Meteorological Department warns the drought could last until June.
Off-season rice, sugar cane and cassava are seen as most at risk.
Lower off-season rice, cane and cassava output tightens Asian feed and industrial raw material supplies, supporting prices for rice and cassava-linked feed inputs.
bangkokpost.comEICMar 17, 2020After 179 past bullish weather events, Rough Rice moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.5%), and +2.2% over 20.
After 1,465 past bullish weather events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Drought damage to 1.62 million rai of Thai farmland, mostly rice, with reservoirs low and the drought possibly lasting until June, points to reduced supply from a major exporter.
Thai drought damaging 1.62 million rai, mostly rice, with the dry spell forecast to last to June, raised the supply-risk premium.
