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Moody's says the severe Argentine drought will reduce GDP by about 0.5% in 2018 and lower federal tax revenue that relies on farm export taxes. The central bank estimates soy output will fall 31% and corn 14% versus 2017.
Smaller Argentine soy and corn crops remove a major export supply from world markets, supporting soybean, meal and corn prices and tightening availability for feed buyers.
bnamericas.comJun 1, 2018After 1,079 past bullish weather events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 1,465 past bullish weather events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 453 past bullish weather events, Soybean Meal moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.7%), and +0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
