
The dollar index rose sharply against the yen and other currencies, and short-end US bond yields spiked to a six-and-a-half-year high. Investors attributed the move to stronger-than-expected durable goods data and expectations of Trump stimulus that could bring earlier Fed rate hikes.
A rapid dollar rally and higher yields make US exports pricier for foreign buyers and can weigh on dollar-denominated grain and oilseed prices.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 273 past bearish macro events, Soybeans moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.4%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 301 past bearish macro events, Corn moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.