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Oil posted its largest daily sell-off since July 2022, with Brent settling 5.62% lower despite unchanged OPEC+ policy. US gasoline inventories rose about 6.5 million barrels while implied gasoline demand fell to 8.01 million bpd.
Weak implied demand and high rates point to softer crude prices, which lowers energy costs and reduces biofuel demand support for oilseeds and corn.
think.ing.comWarren PattersonOct 5, 2023After 129 past bearish report events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -1.3% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -3.9% to +2.5%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 171 past bearish report events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.5% over 5 sessions (37% higher; middle half -4.8% to +1.9%), and -0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Largest daily sell-off since July 2022 with a gasoline stock build and falling implied demand, even with OPEC+ policy unchanged.
Describes the Brent drop with a gasoline inventory build and weaker implied demand, matching the cause, though it is dated a day later.
