
US oil production reached a monthly record of 13.4 million barrels a day in August, with Texas output at an all-time high. The data comes ahead of OPEC's decision on returning supply to the market.
Record US supply adds to the global oversupply outlook, which is bearish for crude and therefore for energy costs across feed supply chains.
After 171 past bearish report events, WTI moved a median -1.5% over 5 sessions (37% higher; middle half -4.8% to +1.9%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 129 past bearish report events, BRENT moved a median -1.3% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -3.9% to +2.5%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.