
WTI crude settled down 2.5 percent at $61.79 after EIA data showed a 1.9 million barrel crude stock build and record US output of 10.25 million barrels per day. Brent fell to $65.51, and both benchmarks were on track for their worst week since May 2017.
Rising US supply and inventory builds weigh on energy prices, which lowers biofuel economics and the cost of inputs tied to energy. Softer crude tends to pressure soybean oil and corn-based ethanol margins.
After 171 past bearish report events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.5% over 5 sessions (37% higher; middle half -4.8% to +1.9%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 129 past bearish report events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -1.3% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -3.9% to +2.5%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 146 past bearish report events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.9%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 770 past neutral report events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.